Last week the Engines of Wealth team achieved a milestone that I believe is a sign of the changing times, we assisted Valma secure her first commercial property investment. What makes this notable is her tender age of 85 years young. This sale is not a one-off occurrence, prior to that we had helped Kathy, 72 years old and Rod 83 years old secure their first retail shop investments, but at 85 years, Valma takes the trophy.
Most people’s vision for retirement involves simplifying their life with a modest home and lifestyle. Like Valma, for many Baby Boomers and previous generation,
the plan was to retire with a lump sum of cash, deposit it into a bank term deposit at 5-6% and live off the interest. The problem for many retirees is that this plan no longer works in today’s economic environment.
Plummeting interest rates have impacted term deposits to the point that returns have become untenable, forcing retirees to look in radically new directions to survive.
The story of Michelle is an increasingly common example, Michelle owns her modest 2-bedroom unit outright and retired 8 years ago with a lump sum of $600,000. She invested this nest egg in a term deposit in the bank. In 2011, Michelle was able to invest her money for 12 months at 6.15%. Her $600,000 generated ($600,000 x 6.15%) $36,900 per year or $709 per week. Michelle’s money in 2011 supported her basic lifestyle, this was 50% higher than those retirees surviving on the single pension in 2011. This approach was, and still is, the retirement strategy for many older Australians.
Rolling forward to 2019 and something serious has gone wrong with this strategy – the bottom has fallen out of interest rates. The Reserve Bank of Australia on Oct 1, 2019 lowered the official cash rate to 0.75%, the lowest level ever in Australia’s history! Adding to the woes is that all messaging coming out of the RBA is that interest rates will continue to fall, so there is no upside in sight for Michelle and others like her. The best deposit rate I found for retirees’ lump sums today is uBank at 1.8% for 6 months.
Michelle’s retirement nest egg would today only generate at best ($600,000 x 1.8%) $10,800 per year or $207 per week. That is a third of what it generated in 2011 and less than half the $466 weekly pension. Michelle, like many must now scrape by with a part pension and a fraction of the money she received just 8 years ago.
I speak with lots of people like Michelle that have followed this same retirement plan. This age old, seemingly low risk, term deposit strategy that has worked from the 1960s to just a few years ago. What has happened over the past 5 years was not anticipated and as a result many are now enduring a brutally hard retirement lifestyle.
The graphic below details the fall in term deposit rates over the past 35 years and really brings home the problem that many older Australian’s are facing.
People in their 70’s and 80’s assumed their investment nest egg of cash in the bank would generate them enough money to live on. In 1985 they would have been getting 12% on their money and in 1995 they would have been earning a tidy 10%. Fast forward to today and retirees are now only getting around 1.5 – 2.0% on their money, that’s not enough to live on. For Valma, Kathy and Rod they were faced with spending their nest egg or seeking alternative ways to generate a return, this is what led them to the Engines of Wealth team to investigate purchasing a commercial retail shop.
I interviewed Kathy after her purchase as I was intrigued to understand the drivers that led a 72-year-old retiree to buy her first retail shop. Her reasons were twofold, firstly, she realised she could not live on the interest her money was generating in the bank and that meant she needed to spend some of her nest egg each year to survive. Kathy’s decision to invest her money in a retail shop at secure 6.5% cash flow return, meant she would now be generating sufficient income for her to live on without eating into her nest egg.
The second driver for Kathy was protecting her children’s inheritance, Kathy had benefited from an inheritance from her parents and hence it was extremely important to her to also leave something for her children. It comforted her to know she would be able to leave them the legacy of an income-generating shop, that was increasing in value each year as the rent increased.
There is a growing number of retirees suffering from what is happening with interest rates and the solution needs to be something other than traditional, low risk investments like bonds and term deposits. This older generation is particularly sceptical of turning to the stock market, as they experienced the GFC and know how volatile local and global financial markets are at the moment.
I am glad that by reading my book, Engines of Wealth and then contacting me, I was able to help improve their livelihood and ultimately empower them with the knowledge and confidence to change their investment strategy. Kathy and Valma both said they are delighted to have secured a safe, steady income stream from their commercial shop and take comfort in knowing their money is protected in bricks and mortar, both have dramatically reduced their stress levels, they are now no longer worried about their future prosperity.
I would like to finish with a photo of a very proud 85-year-old Valma, in front of her shop. Congratulations Valma, an outstanding achievement.